LOSS OF SHELL'S OIL RIGHTS IN OGONI: MATTERS ARISING
President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua is obviously a very interesting man and
this clearly manifests in his kind of policies and choice of venues to
announce them. It may not be apt to think that something may be wrong with
the President’s style however, his recent announcement in South Africa
on the loss of all oil rights in Ogoniland by Shell Petroleum Development
Company of Nigeria (SPDC) heavily supports the notion that either the
President or his handlers may need a second look at the administration’s
style of announcing policy decisions.
Choosing Cape Town South Africa to announce such a sensitive policy
decision, President Yar’Adua in what seemed like government’s ultimate
solution to the over 15 years of anti-Shell protest by the Ogonis said,
within the next six months, Shell would divest all its operations in
Ogoniland for a new firm to come in. The company’s operating license in
Ogoniland would be revoked and new operator (s) would take over the
company’s oilfields and facilities in the area.
And very interestingly, Yar’Adua also said that agreements have been
reached on the compensation to be paid by Shell for the environmental
damages arising from the spillage of crude oil as a result of its
operations in the area.
The President explained that since there is a total loss of confidence
between the Ogoni people and Shell, government believes it would be wise
to allow another operator acceptable to the Ogonis to take over
exploitation activities in the area.
His words: “There is a total loss of confidence between Shell and the
Ogoni people”, and so “another operator acceptable to the Ogonis will
take over. Nobody is gaining from the conflict and stalemate, so this is
the best solution.”
So except the federal government reverses itself, as has been the case in
its oil and gas policy-like pronouncements, Shell will in the next six
months forfeit all its oil fields and investments in Ogoni area of Rivers
State.
The company has 98 oil wells in about seven oilfields in Ogoniland and
five flow stations in Bodo West, Bomu , Yorla, Korokoro and Ebubu before
its expulsion from the area in 1993. Daily output from the area, according
to Shell statistics, was at about 28, 000 barrels per day before the
shut-in in 1993.
Although it does not matter much now but could the federal government have
taken a decision on the eviction of Shell from Ogoniland without putting
the company on notice? This is the puzzle as Shell claimed it was yet to
be formally informed about the federal government’s decision. This is
just an aside.
There are serious hidden issues in the President’s Cape Town
declaration. First, if the federal government has ordered Shell to
relinquish its operational rights in Ogoni oil fields to a new operator,
how is the government going to get Shell to pay the compensation for
alleged environmental irresponsibility in the area? Secondly, is the new
operator going to inherit only the assets of Shell without the
accompanying liabilities or both? There is something not very clear in the
President’s declaration concerning compensation for damages.
Another serious issue borders on the choice of the new operator (s). The
question now is: Which of the oil companies would be acceptable to the
Ogoni people and who are the real Ogoni people- the few select elite
group; the emerging middle level power brokers or the grassroot Ogonis?
These are very sensitive issues that need to be address even before a new
entrant ventures into the area to avert a repeat of what led to the Shell
crisis.
The issue of the acceptable definition of the “Ogoni people” is very
crucial because needless to say that many interest groups have sprung up
in the area since the death of the “Ogoni- 13”. And whether well or
evil-intended, it is only appropriate to carry everybody along in the
ongoing reconciliation and reorganisation exercise if the peace and
reconciliation is to be total. This may also help in the new era to avoid
sabotage or opposition from certain quarters of Ogoni society.
On the choice of acceptable company, Shell operated in Ogoniland with a
joint venture conscription comprising the French Total/Elf, Italy ’s
Agip and the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC).
So as Shell, Total, and Agip were critical parts of the joint venture that
has been declared persona non grata in Ogoniland, the likelihood that one
of them could be singled out as a good boy to operate in the area is
completely ruled out.
It also follows that any existing or proposed oil company that is in a
joint venture partnership with one of the culprit Ogoni operators- the
NNPC is completely or rather should be completely ruled out of the Ogoni
restart operation.
The above scenario rules out ExxonMobil and Chevron as likely acceptable
partners in the Ogoni acquisition.As was rightly pointed out by an analyst, Addax Petroleum seems to be the
only current operator with a clean bill as pertains to community and
social relationships. However, whether the Ogoni people would want to
gamble again with a player that has been on the local scene for sometime
is a matter only the Ogonis can decide.
Another option for the Ogoni people is to look eastward towards the new
Chinese, Russian and Korean brides that have indicated interests in the
Nigerian oil and gas arena.
President Yar’Adua’s Cape Town declaration has left the Ogoni people
with the power for a decent choice. They now need a proper debate on the
available options.
Earlier in an analysis I had maintained that the Movement for the Survival
of Ogoni People (MOSOP) as a frontline umbrella Ogoni people’s assembly
would have been better off today if it had since the beginning of the
conflict incorporated an oil exploration and exploitation and refining
company. If MOSOP had done that, it would have easily been discussing a
joint venture relationship with company (s) of its choice for the Ogoni
restart operation. This would have provided a credible platform for them
to bargain on companies to work with or rather work in the area.
It is still not too late especially now that the federal government has
mustered enough will power to ask Shell to relinquish its oil rights in
Ogoniland. This is the only option that can completely eliminate the
Shell-like behaviour by a new operator in the area- that is if any new
operator would actually come to Ogoni. This is because if it happens, that
singular action by government would change the entire face of the ongoing
Niger Delta militant struggle for resource control.
BY: IFEANYI IZEZE
iizeze@yahoo.com
IFEANYI IZEZE IS AN ABUJA-BASED CONSULTANT ON POLITICAL STRATEGY AND
GRASSROOT CONSULTATION (iizeze@yahoo.com)