FIXED PRICE OF PETROL POSSIBLE IN NIGERIA?
This thought provoking feature is courtesy of Tell Nigeria’s Independently
Weekly Magazine No. 18 May 5, 2008, pages 46,47 and 48 and compilations
from New Democrat Newspaper Vol. 1 No. 003, Monday April 28 – Sunday May
4, 2008 page 27, Daily Trust – the online edition 5th March 2008 and Daily
Trust, Monday, April 21, 2008, Vol.18 No. 19, page 27 also. The contention is
that Oil and Gas Industry In Nigeria has the capacity to have a fixed
price of petrol, once our leaders are decisive.
Let me
quote the Chairman, Revenue Mobilization, Allocation and Fiscal
Commission, Engr. Hamman Tukur, says in an interview with the Editors of
Tell Magazine, as mentioned on page 47 second column, 4th paragraph and I
quote verbatim. “On pricing the issue is, is Government going to
subscribe? If the answer is yes, okay let every Nigerian pay a fixed
amount for petrol, kerosine, gas and so on; you now subsidise. Why should
Nigerians pay a kobo above this price? In 2006/2007 in the Federation
Account; Government made a provision for N150 billion for subsidy, which
means we must pay a certain fixed price for petrol in respect of
fluctuation in the International Market. But you know many things, between
2006 and 2007 fuel price was increased. So, was there a change in policy
as related to subsidy? Where is the N150 billion you reserved in the
Federation Account? In 2007/2008, they again made provision of N100 billion for subsidy and fuel price was increased.
What again happened to this money? Immediately this Government came in,
there was a plan to increase fuel price again. The whole commission (that
is The Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal Commission) ran to Mr.
President. We asked Mr. President, why do you want to increase fuel
price? Is it international market or what? But you budgeted for this
subsidy and the money is there in the Federation Account, why must you
subject Nigerians to paying an additional N10 for petroleum product, when
there is provision on the ground to cushion this effect? What is the talk
about international market fluctuations? You budgeted for it, the money
is there, take it and pay. You don’t have to transfer the burden to
Nigeria, we told him. The worst part of it is that NNPC is with holding
N25 billion to N30 billion monthly from the Federation Account, all in
the name of fuel subsidy, yet you say Nigerians should pay more. THANK GOD, WE HAVE A RESPONSIBLE PRESIDENT
WHO LISTENS. TTHAT WAS HOW THE PRICE INCREASE, COUPLED WITH THE PRESSURE
FROM LABOUR WAS AVERTED.
The money is Nigerians’ money, so why do they
have to pay more? Is the essence of Government not to cushion the
suffering of the common man? Don’t forget that whenever you put N1 on
petrol, everything you can think of in Nigeria will have its price
increased. This illegality of deducting monies from the Federation
Account by NNPC, the Federal Government and its agencies must stop. We
must be told by Petroleum Products Pricing and Regulatory Agency (PPPRA),
if subsidy is cost consumption or cost recovery. If it is cost
consumption, then Nigerians have been taxed enough, but if it is recovery
then we must be educated on this. NNPC or PPPRA have no constitutional
right to take money from the Federation Account in the name of a
so-called subsidy that is abracadabra” these words speak for themselves. So it is possible for a fixed price of petrol, when
the rules are followed. Then who has been taking Nigerians for a ride
this long time that the burden, which the subsidy was to bear, was
transferred to fellow Nigerians? I tried to find the meaning of subsidy
in the Oxford, Advanced Learner’s Dictionary and this is the exculpation,
I discovered: subsidy according to the dictionary in the money that is
paid by a Government or an organization to reduce the costs of services
or of producing goods, so that their prices can be kept low. That is it
in a simple definition. Other related complications, which have bedeviled
our country and money is stolen by visionless leaders that borders on the
oil sector is the excess crude Account. This “Excess Crude” is a misnomer
and not part of our constitutional provisions says Engr. Hamman Adama
Tukur in The New Democrat, Monday April 7- Sunday April 13, 2008, page
27, second column paragraph 2. It has never been part of any law and has become a reality
on the ground for several years, he continued. Oil benchmarking is to
encourage the misuse or abuse of Excess Revenue Account. There are four
parts that summed up the Excess Revenue Account. I WILL LIKE YOU TO
ASSIST IN EDUCATING NIGERIANS WHAT THIS ACCOUNT IS ALL ABOUT, he pleaded.
There are three parts of this Excess Revenue Account, which are in
dollars, and the fourth part in naira. The three-dollar parts of the
Excess Revenue Account are (a) Excess Equity Crude Account (b) Excess
Petroleum Profit Tax Account and (c) Excess Royalty Petroleum Account.
You also know that everyday the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation
(NNPC) picks 445, 000 barrels of crude oil for domestic refining, which
is monetized in naira into the Federation Account. The fourth part is the
Excess Domestic Crude Account in naira. We have three-dollar accounts and
one naira account. All these are referred to as the Excess Revenue Account. All of them have something to do with
benchmarking, which he said is not part of the Appropriation law.
Benchmarking has brought about problems bordering on these Excess
Accounts and the misuse of the accounts. Looking at these problems of the
Excess Accounts over the years, The Revenue Mobilization Allocation and
Fiscal Commission is now thinking of another approach to benchmarking:
They have reviewed the current practices of benchmarking and observed
that the difference between the benchmarking and the actual crude price
was not properly accounted for. This has led to the creation of illegal
Excess Crude Account amidst infrastructure decays. The Chairman with a
patriotic passion says instead of putting the money in what he called“illegal account” the excess proceeds should be used to develop specific
infrastructure. There is no electricity, no water, no roads, no
railways, no hospitals and no schools.
The philosophy of the new approach is to exclusively translate crude oil
revenue into infrastructure development and also to allow for minimum
governance without budgetary distortions. The new thought from the
commission boldly emphasizes that the new approach seeks to use Excess
Revenue for specific infrastructural development. This is deliberately
designed to allow for the fixing of benchmark used to specific priority
projects without negatively impacting on the minimum cost of governance
as already contained in the 2008 budget.
In other words, the
new method is a simple and practical process whereby a predetermined crude
oil benchmark is allocated to specific priority project such as power,
railway and other critical infrastructures. This is without touching the
minimum governance. If you are to fix any benchmark, the critical issue is
what are you going to do with the difference between the budgeted
benchmark and the actual Oil Price in the International Market? Unless it
is part of the law you are passing, it makes no meaning whatsoever. This
is because, it has been misused over the last four to five years. Anything
called benchmark, which creates Excess Account is unconstitutional. To fix
a benchmark, you have to look at the Federal Government of Nigeria budget.
What is the minimum amount required for governance? What revenues are you
expecting to do that minimum governance? How much of the revenues are
coming from oil?
You know the quantities you are exporting because the Organisation of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tells you, what quantity to export,
so the money required for minimum governance divided by the quantity of
crude oil expected will give you the benchmark. The balance of oil money
in other accounts should now be for specific capital infrastructure
projects. That is the position of the commission, so it is unethical to
arbitrarily fix oil benchmark at $53 or $59 or $60 per barrel. What is
minimum governance? From the minimum governance you now work out the
minimum oil price you expect will allow you to accomplish the minimum
governance. After which you now translate all your oil money above the
minimum governance into infrastructural development. This is what other
countries do to benefit maximally from high oil prices. The Government
can now translate the high oil prices into electricity, railway system,
agriculture and others. Every quarter, the government can review what it spends its crude on. Assuming the
government earns $40 or $50 per barrel above the minimum governance or
oil benchmark, it can appropriate $3.9 per barrel per day for power,
$6.23 per barrel day for railway and $6.49 per barrel per day for coal
and also for agriculture.
Another interesting
aspect and what most Nigerians do not know its quantum, quality and future
is the Gas Industry in Nigeria . When the Editors of the Tell Nigeria’s
Independent Weekly Magazine, No. 18, May 5, 2008 page 48 asked the
Chairman of The Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission his
view and stake on Gas and flaring? “Which gas?”, the accomplished
bureaucrat and technocrat asked in return. “ Nigeria does not have gas”,
he revealed. The Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG), you people talk
about is sold for 20 years to foreign companies operating in Nigeria .
Nigeria has a minority share in NLNG; that is why you heard them saying
they had no gas to power Obasanjo’s power projects. They have sold the gas
they would produce for the next twenty years. The ownership of the NLNG
was originally 60 percent Nigeria . It mysteriously became 49 percent. So
we don’t have the power to really determine what happens to our gas reserves between
now and the next 20 years. Gas flaring cannot end because it is cheaper
for the foreign companies to flare the gas and pay penalties than to take
the burden of cost to contain the thing and we have no control over them.
To add my own and many other firms, companies like Ajaokuta, Steel
Rolling Mills, Iron Ore Mining Company Itakpe, NITEL and even NNPC may be
sold to Global Holdings International Limited (GHIL) and others in that
order. But hear what the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilization Allocation
and Fiscal Commission says when asked this question “Do you see the NNPC
getting privatized in the future: he retorted “only a mad person would
want the NNPC privatized. The flow of dividends or revenue from NLNG to
the Federation Account is still shrouded in mystery and the loans the
NLNG is collecting from left, right and centre will have a reverberative
effect on Nigeria in the future. With all these lofty talks what of if the crude oil price crashes
in the International Market asks Idris Ahmed of The Daily Trust, Monday,
April 21, 2008 page 27, the Electrical Engineer noted they did their
research on the oil market before coming out with any new concept
THE DEMAND FOR OIL CAN ONLY INCREASE.
Oil has a lot to do with the energy sector; in the world economy. It
accounts for about 60 percent of the energy demand. Oil and coal are still
used to generate energy in the world. It cannot change, not for now. The
use of other substitute to power cars cannot even be sustained. Oil prices
have been increasing for the last 10 years, why should it crash this year
or next year? Let us suppose a disaster happened and oil prices crashed to
the oil benchmark of $59 per barrel or below what the Government can do is
to suspend the projects tied to the Excess Revenue. The Government may
explain to the public that it is suspending two of the five
infrastructures being built because oil prices have gone down to $ 40 per
barrel or so. Government should not go and take loans to build
infrastructure in the country, why should it? We have funds in the Foreign
Reserves, which included the Excess Revenue Account. The said Government
should not take loans to build infrastructure in the country. “The Chinese Government is offering US$50
billion loan for the funding of infrastructure development. Are you
saying this offer should be rejected by the Government?” asked the
interviewer. The Chairman emphatically said “I told you earlier that the
Excess Crude Account is currently about $17 billion, what will the
Chinese loan do, when we have some idle funds? The Excess Crude Account
is enough to solve our power problem, develop a good railway and
transportation system, establish schools and put drugs in the hospitals
and rehabilitate our health care system. What will Chinese loan now do,
when we have funds to address these problem? We sold our gas for 20 years
to Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) and we are now saying we are
going to construct thermal power stations to use gas. Their committee is
looking at the agreement, which the Government signed with NLNG under
solid minerals. And they said; they cannot query it. They will do nonetheless, otherwise, there will be no
sufficient Gas in Nigeria to run the thermal power stations. He was
talking as an Electrical Engineer, who knows the functions and operations
of generating and transmitting light.
We thank God, that in this country,
we have such citizens that display an uncommon courage in the discharge
of their duties. Other seemingly unpopular stance this gentleman has
taken which have not been reflected in the newspapers, magazines and on
websites mentioned at the beginning of this opinion is when the
commission opposed the funding of the integrated power project from the
Consolidated Revenue Account, which they found to be illegal. This is
truly a fearless icon; bold and courages and has consistently reminded
Nigerians that development is not proportionate to the revenue that has
accrued so far from oil, 50 years after discovery. Nigeria , absolutely
lacked the needed managerial capabilities and leadership to convert these resources to wealth for the benefit of the
common man. The vintage personality, Engr. Hamman A. Tukur, The Chairman,
Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal Commission even before the
House of Representatives Committee on Banking and Currency is of the view
according to http:// news. Daily Trust. Com/content/view/5295/27/,
Friday, 02 May 2008, written by Tashikalmah Hallam suggested the rising
price of crude oil on the international market, the most realistic
benchmark for the 2008 budget should be arrived at by basing the daily
cost of any project in a given sector on daily crude production and
calculating it against the chosen $59 per barrel benchmark. The RMAFC
Chairman said “for instance, if the following sectors are identified as
national priorities; power, railways, agriculture and coal reactivation,
etc, then to determine their benchmarks, the formula applies; daily cost
of project by daily crude production which equals to benchmark” According to him, “If the power sector requires $ 4
billion for reliable power over the period of say four years, then annual
requirement is $ 1bn. Monthly requirement of funds is $ 1bn over 12
months that is $ 83.3 per month; daily requirement of funds is $ 83.3 for
30 days which equals to $2,777,777 per day. The amount the Chairman said
can be sourced daily and dedicated to the power sector, adding that with
712,950 barrel of crude oil per day production exclusively to the Federal
Government, the new bench mark would read $2,777,777 per day over 712,950
which equals to $3,90 per barrel per day. Therefore the benchmark
required to realize the $ 4b earmarked for the power sector is $3.90 per
barrel per day” adding that $ 3.90 per barrel per day be allocated to the
power sector, after every $59 per barrel per day benchmark earmarked in
the 2008 budget. The Chairman observed meticulously that the same formula
could be applied to the other three sectors he cited as example to determine the appropriate
benchmark for each.
The formula is a deliberate approach designed to
reduce inflation through the importation of capital goods because the
demands of the identified sectors are largely sourced outside the country
and are therefore within the medium term expenditure framework of the
World Bank and the IMF, thus the fear of inflation does not arise. Thus
the application of the new formula would enable Nigeria conserve and
utilize whatever excess amount accrued from the fluctuation of the sale
of crude oil instead of depositing it in the countries foreign reserve,
which is often used more by other countries. Who says knowledge is not
power? Engineer Hamman Adama Tukur was born on January 24, 1942 in Jada,
Adamawa State . A learned gentleman and can hold any position of
responsibility. He attended various schools at home and abroad. He has a
B.Sc. in Physics from the famous Ahmadu Bello University and M.Sc in Electrical Engineering in England . He
started his work career at consolidated Tin Mines in Jos before moving to
the academia as a lecturer at Kaduna Polytechnic. He was Head of
Department of Electrical / Electronics, before he became the Rector of
Kaduna Polytechnic. After fourteen years in the academia, the Federal
Government appointed him, Managing Director, National Electric Power
Authority, defunct NEPA, then Director General, Federal Ministry of Power
and Steel and later Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Petroleum
Resources. Engr. Hamman A. Tukur has received awards and commendations
from groups and credible institutions. He is a member Institute of
strategic studies, Kuru, Fellow, Nigerian Society of Engineers, Fellow,
Yaba College of Technology and member, Institute of Electrical Engineers
( England ). He is also altogether Officer of the Order of the Federal
Republic (OFR), amongst several other honours.
By: Emmanuel Y. Kwache,
Freelance Journalist and Commentator on
Nations Issues is an Executive Director of
YAMEKNIGERIA LIMITED, RC. 263434
No. 30 Gambia Crescent , Bekaji Estate, Jimeta – Yola, Adamawa State
080-34363618, 080-55531975
E-mail:- emmanuelyamekwache@yahoo.com